League Updates Uncategorized

Sooner and/or later

 

According to today’s trends, a Johnson will take over first place either next June, or next August 31, 2021.  That’s not a typo.  It’s one of several pieces of evidence in this update that the cosmos is unsettled.

 

EFL Standings for 2021
EFL
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB RS RA
Old Detroit Wolverines 107 49 .684 901.1 613.5
Flint Hill Tornadoes 101 55 .648 5.6 862.4 634.4
D.C. Balk 96 59 .621 9.8 886.6 692.7
Kaline Drive 97 59 .619 10.1 831.8 653.0
Peshastin Pears 92 64 .590 14.6 791.6 672.2
Canberra Kangaroos 86 69 .556 19.9 831.2 753.0
Cottage Cheese 85 71 .546 21.4 856.0 794.8
Haviland Dragons 82 74 .528 24.4 809.9 792.9
Pittsburgh Alleghenys 82 75 .521 25.4 766.8 732.1
Bellingham Cascades 81 76 .517 25.9 668.9 646.8
Portland Rosebuds 80 76 .511 27 846.0 836.2
 
OLD DETROIT: DNP, 1 – 0  (23 PA, .381, .435, .524 — Happy Edgar Martinez Off-Day!  no pitching)  Former shiny new star Josh Bell and current maybe-still-shiny new star Ke’Bryan Hayes posted twin oh-for-fours, and Luis Garcia (2 for 4) is still playing in Toledo for some reason… so all this offensive goodness is down to JP Crawford (3 for 5) and suddenly awakened Eloy Jimenez (3 for 4 with a homer and a walk).  If Eloy can stay awake through the weekend, the W’s will be fine.  
 
 
 
FLINT HILL:  DNP, 2 – 2. (18 PA, .375 .444, .750;  5 ip, 4 er, 7.29 ERA)  Aw, too bad!  The Tornados got too greedy with the slugging percentage to qualify for a Happy Edgar Martinez Off-Day. And their consolation prize (doubling the W’s runs scored) got spoiled because German Marquez was almost replacement-level in his 5 innings.  
 
Sunday the T’s gained 1.1 games in a single day, setting a pace that would put them in first place by this coming Saturday, with an entire day to spare.  But Monday they lost 0.2 games in a single day, putting them on pace to move into first place on August 31, 2021. The EFL has many amazing features, but the  reverse-the-calendar feature has not yet been attempted.  I guess we will saw what happensed. 
 
 
DC: W (-1), L 1; (-4) – 1.  (26 PA, .160, .192, .240;  4.7 ip, 5 er, 9.57 ERA)  Having pitching apparently isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, at least on off-days. So far the best approach has been to skip the pitching entirely.  James Kaprielian, touched for 3 runs in 2.7 innings in Seattle,  discovered a Mariners buzz-saw few believed existed.  Garrett Crochet actually chulked (1 ip, 2 er).  Trevor Stephan…I don’t know who this is.  He pitched a scoreless inning.
 
Scoreless innings would have been better than the innings endured by Balk batters.  0 for 4’s by Sean Murphy, Matt Chapman and Sam Hilliard gnawed away at the Balk’s rc/g numbers.  The Balk had the 4th best offense in the EFL in April. In the months since then their RC/G has ranked 6th, 1st, 5th, 1st, and now back down to 5th, for the moment.  
 
 
 
KALINE:  W 1, L (-1); 1 – 0.  (13 PA, .364, .308, .727;  no pitching).  That is an amazing slash line, with its isolated on base percentage of -0.056! (There were two sacrifice flies, and no free passes). I suppose such things will turned out to be routine when we eventually reversed the calendar like they are wanted to do in Flint Hill.  Meanwhile, the Drive were untroubled by their surreal OBP.  They allowed exactly 0 runs, and really they only scored 0.5, mostly thanks to a Jonathan Schoop homer to go with his single single. Notice how this tiny thing — this half a run — changed the Drive’s reported record from 96 – 60 to 97 – 59.  They led the Astros in the AL West by 5.5 games yesterday.  Today they still lead the idle Astros by 5.5 games.  Amazing things are happening in the second decimal to the right of the decimal point. 
 
Speaking of the AL West: the third place Mariners (reported in the fake-news mainstream media as being in second place) are now only 4.5 games behind the Astros. The M’s have four paths to the division championship (if we pretend the Drive don’t exist):  they can go 6 – 0 while the Astros go no better than 1 – 6; or they can go 5 – 1 while the Astros lose all their games; or they can go 5 -1 while the Astros go no better than 1 – 6, and then win the play-in game; or they can go 6 – 0 while the Astros go no better than 2 – 5, and then win the play-in game.   There are even more ways the M’s can take the second wild-card spot.  I realize how pathetic this makes Mariners fandom look, but this is as exciting as it’s been in a long time. Well, there was that time — 2016? — when the M’s weren’t eliminated until the 5th inning of the last game of the season. We’re still a long way from that paltry glory, but it’s not over yet!
 
 
 
PESHASTIN: DNP,  2 – 0. (22 PA, .222, .364, .278;  no pitching).  The Pears played it safe, and spared Pear pitchers an off-day appearance. The hitters found some extra on-base percentage near where the the Drive were last seen, and kept it for themselves. This was enough to give them a nice 2 run lead lead in off-day action. Max Schrock was the Star of the Scrimmage, doubling and singling in 5 plate appearances
 
 
CANBERRA:  DNP, 0 – 0. (9 PA, .167, .444, .167;  10.3 ip, 9 er, 7.86 ERA). So much on-base percentage!  The Kangaroos’ isolated on-base rate was .277 yesterday which is … huh. Almost 600% bigger than Kaline’s? (which would have to lose 100% of theirs, and then add almost 500% of that amount to get to the Roos OBP?… I don’t know how to do do this. Maybe I will learn it before August 31, 2021.)
 
The ‘Roos’ isolated OBP is, for now, incalculably better than the Drive’s!!  Because 100% of the ‘Roos’ batters walked, and 50% of them got  hit by a pitch. Yes, there were only two ‘Roos batters, but are they their teammates’ keepers?  
 
What I really wanted to talk about for Canberra was how Canny they were. All that poor pitching barely made a dent in the team’s runs allowed — just 0.1 runs added.  How did they do that?  All 10.3 innings were replacing replacements.  Usually you don’t want to replace erasable replacement innings with equally bad indelible real ones.  But we are nearing the end of the month.  If Canberra isn’t likely to get all its replacement innings erased, then there’s no harm in letting a judiciously limited amnount of replacement- level pitching happen.  Get it off their chests.  Maybe they’ll pitch better next time.  
 
 
COTTAGE:  W (-1), L 1; (-2) – 4.  (7 PA, .000, .000, .000;   8.6 ip, 9 er , 9.42 ERA).  I know it was an off day, but still, something seems… amiss about this approach. Unpromising.
 
You usually want the pitchers to generate no-hitters, and the batters to score nine earned runs a game. Outstanding hitters get more walks than strikeouts, and maybe a HBP occasionally.  But it was the pitchers producing more walks (8) than strikeouts (7), with the HBP tossed in for good measure. 
 
OK, let’s be gracious here.  The pitchers here are both debutants.  Josiah Gray actually amassed more innings (5.3) than earned runs allowed (3).  It was mostly Matt Manning who was so disoriented out there: 3.3 ip, 6 er, 3 so, 5 bb.  
 
 
HAVILAND: DNP, 4 – 0.  (11 PA, .500, .545, .900;  no pitching.) The best day in the EFL was in Haviland, where the hitters really hit! Well, Amed Rosario really hit!  4 for 5 with a double and a homer.  The other three Dragons to reach the plate went 1 for 5 with a HBP.  But Rosario was so great he carried the team to a 1.445 daily OPS. 
 
 
PITTSBURGH:  L, 3 – 5. (13 PA, .167 .231, .250;  3 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA).  Some sleight of hand here, to be honest.  Cody Ponce — who is this guy? — pitched those 3 innings, and surrendered 4 runs.  All of them unearned, even though there were 2 home runs. 
 
Ponce, it turns out, plays for both Pittsburgh teams.  He had Jonathan India on second with one out when Colin Moran made an error at first base.  Instead of being a runner on third and two outs, it was a runner on 1st and 3rd with one out.  The next batter hit a fly ball to the OF, scoring India instead of just being the third out. Then Ponce gave up consecutive home runs to Joey Votto and Eugenio Suarez.  
 
The Pirates suffered, but what else is new?  Local Pirates fans also suffered, but what else is new about that, either?  But at least one local Pirates fan could also say, “hey, he got through the inning without any earned runs, so we’re good.”  
 
Good, except for the part about going from being practically tied with long-time rival Haviland, to being an entire game behind, all in one day. 
 
 
 
BELLINGHAM:  W, 6 – 4.  (18 PA, .556, .556, 833;  no pitching)  The Cascades produced monster batting numbers, but a thin lineup of only 4 players. All four got hits — even Austin Hedges doubled! — but Jonathan India was the star.  He homered, doubled (off Ponce in the inning-gone-bad from Pittsburgh’s point of view) and singled twice.  He also stole a base. I’ll bet that was after one of the singles.  It was a nice win, badly needed if Bellingham is going to stay ahead of the Runaway Rosebuds!
 
 
PORTLAND:  DNP, 1 – 0. (5 PA, 400 , .400, .600; no pitching)  I can’t remember an EFL team producing only one hitter on a day, and no pitching.  It’s probably happened, but I don’t remember it. But now the Rosebuds have done it.  And they chose their hitter well: CJ Cron!  Who doubled and singled in 5 plate appearances, as his batting line would indicate  I think that’s the only way you can get a .400, .400, .600 line for 5 plate appearances. So why am I spending all this time telling you something you already knew when you read 5 PA, .400, .400, .600?
 
Because the Rosebuds are amazing, that’s why. Look at this, the current EFL September standings:
 
Team W L PCT
PR 18 6 0.756
KD 16 8 0.655
FH 16 8 0.652
OD 15 9 0.635
CK 14 10 0.575
DC 13 11 0.540
BC 12 12 0.480
PP 11 13 0.449
HD 11 13 0.440
PA 10 14 0.424
CC 9 14 0.405

 

 
 
Our last place team is two games ahead of everyone else in September.  In terms of monthly standings, PR finished  8th, 10th, 11th, 10th, and 7th in April through August.  At the end of the July they were 11 games under .500, 7.6 games behind the 10th place Cascades, and 27.3 games behind the league leaders.
 
At the end of August they had improved in some ways — only 8 games under .500 — but declined in others: 7.7 games behind the Cascades, and 29.9 games out of first. 
 
Now suddenly they are 4 games over .500, 1.1 games behind the Cascades (who would be in the cellar by now except  in the last week or so they have been running like terrified rabbits from the fearsome Rosebuds).  And they are only 27 games out of first — closer than they were on Aug 1! 
 
They’ve already gained essentially 3 games on first, and September isn’t even over. If they keep up that pace, they will catch the Wolverines in June, 2022.  I think that might be sooner than next August 31, 2021… but I’m not as sure as I’d usually be.  Check back with me yesterday. 
 
 
 
 
Combined MLB + EFL Standings for 2021
AL East
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Old Detroit Wolverines 107 49 .684
Flint Hill Tornadoes 101 55 .648 5.6
Tampa Bay Rays 97 59 .622 9.7
New York Yankees 89 67 .571 17.7
Boston Red Sox 88 68 .564 18.7
Toronto Blue Jays 87 69 .558 19.7
Baltimore Orioles 50 106 .321 56.7
NL East
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
D.C. Balk 96 59 .621
Canberra Kangaroos 86 69 .556 10.1
Atlanta Braves 83 72 .535 13.3
Philadelphia Phillies 81 75 .519 15.8
New York Mets 73 82 .471 23.3
Washington Nationals 65 92 .414 32.3
Miami Marlins 64 91 .413 32.3
 
AL Central
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Chicago White Sox 89 68 .567
Pittsburgh Alleghenys 82 75 .521 7.2
Kansas City Royals 71 65 .522 7.5
Bellingham Cascades 81 76 .517 7.8
Cleveland Indians 77 79 .494 11.5
Detroit Tigers 75 81 .481 13.5
Minnesota Twins 69 87 .442 19.5
NL Central
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Milwaukee Brewers 94 62 .603
St. Louis Cardinals 87 69 .558 7
Cottage Cheese 85 71 .546 8.8
Cincinnati Reds 82 75 .522 12.5
Chicago Cubs 67 89 .429 27
Pittsburgh Pirates 58 98 .372 36
 
AL West
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Kaline Drive 97 59 .619
Houston Astros 91 65 .583 5.5
Seattle Mariners 87 70 .554 10
Oakland A’s 85 72 .541 12
Haviland Dragons 82 74 .528 14.2
Los Angeles Angels 74 82 .474 22.5
Texas Rangers 57 99 .365 39.5
NL West
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
San Francisco Giants 102 54 .654
Los Angeles Dodgers 100 56 .641 2
Peshastin Pears 92 64 .590 9.9
Portland Rosebuds 80 76 .511 22.3
San Diego Padres 78 78 .500 24
Colorado Rockies 71 85 .455 31
Arizona Diamondbacks 50 106 .321 52