League Updates

The hottest hitter in baseball, and other topics

We apparently need a league-wide integrity workshop.  Six out of 11 teams posted “W” or “L”  results meaning they were credited with an outcome they did not earn.  This moral rot begins right at the top, with the first place team.  Also the Commissioner.

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EFL Standings for 2018
EFL
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB RS RA
Old Detroit Wolverines 80 47 .630 615.9 464.4
Portland Rosebuds 78 48 .621 1.3 661.1 508.5
Brookland Outs 72 52 .583 6.3 658.6 559.6
Canberra Kangaroos 67 58 .535 12.2 571.1 536.1
Pittsburgh Alleghenys 67 58 .533 12.4 653.8 617.3
Flint Hill Tornadoes 66 61 .519 14.2 575.4 551.8
Cottage Cheese 63 61 .507 15.6 614.8 605.0
Kaline Drive 63 63 .496 17 558.8 560.5
Haviland Dragons 62 64 .493 17.5 575.2 580.4
Peshastin Pears 57 69 .454 22.4 525.9 579.1
D.C. Balk 54 71 .429 25.5 533.5 616.7
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Old Detroit: “W”, 2 – 3. (Real score: 2.2 – 2.8.) (54 PA, .240, .296, .360; 2.7 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA). Twelve Wolverine batters started yesterday.  Ten of them reached base safely at least once. Three pinch hitters combined to go 1 for 3. Unfortunately, these episodes of on-baseness were spread too thinly to make a real win.
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Portland: “L”, 5 – 3. (Real score: 4.5 – 2.7.) (51 PA, .250, .333, .341;  13.7 ip, 4 er, 2.63 ERA).  I guess Portland Rosebuds are of the creeping rose variety. The W’s have been stumbling the last few days, but the Rosebuds haven’t leapt on the opportunity to eject the W’s from the top spot. On the other hand, this slow, steady creeping approach is more dramatic and excruciating, like taking a band-aid off a millimeter at a time.
Brookland: W, 8 – 3. (Real score: 7.0 – 2.7) (40 PA, .351, .400, .703 !!;  2.7 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA) Khris Davis, Manny Machado, and Jonathan Schoop all homered, Schoop as a pinch hitter. Bill James rates Khris Davis as the hottest hitter in baseball right now, at 104 degrees. Other EFLers:
#5 Brandon Nimmo, HD, 100o
#7 Michael Brantley, PA,  94o
#9 Paul Goldschmidt, PR, 91o
#12 Xander Bogaerts, CC, 90o
#13  Manny Machado, BO, 89o
70o  is average.
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So the EFL has 6 of the 15 hottest hitters, for 40%.  Brookland has two of the hottest hitters, and the Wolverines have none.
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But, on the other hand, here is Bill James’ list of the top pitchers at the moment:
#1     Max Scherzer          OD
#2    Chris Sale                 PR
#3    Corey Kluber            CK
#9    Carlos Carrasco       DC
#10  Stephen Strasburg  PA
#15  Jake Arrieta              BO
#16  Luis Severino            CC
#18  Blake Snell                 CK
Out of the top 50, here is how our teams fare:
OD:  # 1, 22, 37, 45, 51 (yeah, ok, I cheated to get my 5th starter on here — Alex Wood.  If you don’t like it, write your own post.)
PR:   # 2, 32, 33, 42, 44, 48 — aw, come on, Mark. Six? You can’t even use 6 starters’ innings.  Leave some for someone else.
BO:  #15, 23, 46
CK:  # 3, 18, 24
PA:  #10, 40, 49
FH:  #34
CC:  #16, 47
KD: —
HD: —
PP:  —
DC: # 9, 39
We are 36.7% of MLB and we have 48% of the best 50 pitchers.  Yay us!
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Canberra: “W”, 1 – 1.  (Real score: 0.7 – 0.9) (33 PA, .200, .242, .300; 12 ip, 3 er, 12 ip, 3 er 2.25 ERA).  Speaking of Blake Snell: he had another great start: 6 ip, 1 er, 11 K, 1 BB.  Steven Matz did ok, too: 5 ip, 2 er. He has risen from being ranked #87 to #18 in this season alone.
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Pittsburgh: W: 8 – 4. (Real score: 8.5 – 4.5) (38 PA. .343, .395, .600; 9.7 ip, 5 er, 4.66 ERA).  Dansby Swanson homered twice in four plate appearance, pacing the Allegheny attack. The Alleghenys and the Kangaroos have a nice little race going.  I hope it lasts all the way to Sept. 30, and doesn’t involve them catching the Wolverines.
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Flint Hill: “W”, (-1) – (-1). (Real score: (-0.9) – (-0.7)). (24 PA, .174, .167, .217; 12.3 ip, 1 er, 0.73 ERA).  Two notes about this:
1) The entire Tornado offense was three singles and a double, minus a SF, 4 strike outs, and two double plays.  Yes — a sacrifice fly is a negative result in the runs created per game formula. So is a strikeout, although it takes something like 30 strikeouts to subtract a run. All outs are bad, but a strikeout is about .03 runs worse than the average out. The double play almost entirely erases a single.  So with all the elements taken into account, the Tornados were trying to score a run with slightly less than a single and a double for the entire game.
2) If the universe is just, the Tornados should have a near 9.00 ERA day to offset its near 0.00 ERA day, just like the Wolverines did last week.  The W’s had more than 20 innings for both days, so the Tornados should have about a dozen for both days. If this doesn’t happen, then we’ll know the universe is out to get me.
Cottage:  L, 3 – 5. (Real Score: 2.7 – 5.2.) (45 PA, .225, .279, .325; 1.3 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA). Only two of the 10 Cheeses to bat failed to reach base safely.  Max Kepler went 0 for 4, which I think is uncharacteristic for him — but then, I haven’t really been paying attention.  Greg Bird went 0 for 6. With three strikeouts. Which I believe is the direction he is tending (and may he take the entire Yankee team with him.) I have evidence for this belief, since I read the latest Cheese Lament.
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Kaline: “W”, 3 – 3. (Real score: 3.3 – 3.4.) (41 PA, .243, .317, .297; 6.3 ip, 2 er, 2.84 ERA). That 3.3 – 3.4 score is very close, so if it’s phony wins are an integrity issue, they are an exceptionally minor one for the Wizard. Sort of like when you drop a tiny scrap of paper and pretend not to notice so you don’t have to stop and pick it up.  Or maybe like not coming to a really complete stop at a stop sign in quiet residential block where there’s no traffic.  Or when your wife asks you how she looks and you say, truthfully,  “I really like that blouse” but don’t mention how the scarf looks like it was cut out of a shower curtain.
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Haviland: W, 1 – (-2). (Real score: 0.8 – (-2.4).) (31 PA, .179, .226, .214; 13.7 ip, 2 er, 1.32 ERA).  John was all sheepish about drafting Pablo Lopez.  Well, Lopez just pitched 6 strong innings, allowing only 1 earned run.  So what was with the sheepishness?  Was he really sort of embarrassed? Or was he just trying to throw us off the track?  It would be nice to know how John handles the situation when Cindy is about to leave the house wearing a shower curtain fragment around her neck.  Is he scrupulously honest? Or does he get all strategic when the occasion seems to call for it? Or would he put on an misdirecting act to keep the peace (or get the pitching prospect)?
Peshastin:  “L”, 3 – 2.  (Real score: 2.9 – 2.1.) (33 PA, .212, .212, .303; 7 ip, 0 er, 0.00 ERA).  The Pears simplified things yesterday. They cut walks, hbp, sb, cs, sf, and sh right out of their diet. (They did treat themselves to one GIDP, even though they know it’s bad for them.) Same thing on the pitching side: they told their pitchers they couldn’t allow more than one hit or one walk, and both of their pitchers stuck to the rules.  Brett Anderson went 7 innings with only 1 pitch and one walk.  Cam Bedrosian used up his hit allotment on the first batter he saw, and was immediately yanked from the game.  The Pears still won, but MLB punished Bedrosian anyway by ascribing to him a loss.  Giving someone an “L” when they didn’t really lose: that’s an EFL innovation!  So we ARE having an influence on major league baseball, after all!.
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DC: L, 6 – 10. (Real score: 5.8 – 9.8) (44 PA, .300, .341, .500; 6 ip, 8 er, 12.00 ERA.) Dylan Bundy threw a wrench into DC’s secret plan to finish above .500, allowing 7 earned runs in only 4 innings, ruining what would have otherwise been another winning day for the Balk. Some notes:
1.)  Doesn’t 9.8 runs sound like a lot more runs than 10 does?  It does to me. Maybe people shouldn’t price things at $9.99.  Just go ahead and charge $10.00.  All those 9’s are just so intimidating.
2.)  No, Jamie, you cannot count the Balk’s bad pitching day as the payback owed to the fates for your unnaturally good ERA Tuesday.  Justice still awaits you.
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Combined MLB + EFL Standings for 2018
AL East
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Boston Red Sox 88 39 .693
Old Detroit Wolverines 80 47 .630 7.9
New York Yankees 79 46 .632 8
Flint Hill Tornadoes 66 61 .519 22.1
Tampa Bay Rays 65 61 .516 22.5
Toronto Blue Jays 57 69 .452 30.5
Baltimore Orioles 37 89 .294 50.5
NL East
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Atlanta Braves 70 55 .560
Philadelphia Phillies 68 57 .544 2
Canberra Kangaroos 67 58 .535 3.1
Washington Nationals 63 63 .500 7.5
New York Mets 55 70 .440 15
D.C. Balk 54 71 .429 16.4
Miami Marlins 50 77 .394 21
AL Central
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Cleveland Indians 73 52 .584
Pittsburgh Alleghenys 67 58 .533 6.4
Minnesota Twins 60 65 .480 13
Detroit Tigers 52 74 .413 21.5
Chicago White Sox 47 78 .376 26
Kansas City Royals 38 88 .302 35.5
NL Central
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Brookland Outs 72 52 .583
Chicago Cubs 71 53 .573 1.3
St. Louis Cardinals 70 57 .551 3.8
Milwaukee Brewers 70 58 .547 4.3
Cottage Cheese 63 61 .507 9.4
Pittsburgh Pirates 63 64 .496 10.8
Cincinnati Reds 56 70 .444 17.3
AL West
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Houston Astros 76 50 .603
Oakland A’s 76 50 .603
Seattle Mariners 72 55 .567 4.5
Los Angeles Angels 63 64 .496 13.5
Kaline Drive 63 63 .496 13.5
Haviland Dragons 62 64 .493 13.9
Texas Rangers 56 72 .438 21
NL West
TEAM WINS LOSSES PCT. GB
Portland Rosebuds 78 48 .621
Arizona Diamondbacks 70 56 .556 8.2
Colorado Rockies 68 57 .544 9.7
Los Angeles Dodgers 67 60 .528 11.7
San Francisco Giants 62 65 .488 16.7
Peshastin Pears 57 69 .454 21
San Diego Padres 50 78 .391 29.2

 

 

 

1 Comment

  • Bill James also ranks closers by how “tired” they are — really, how much they’ve been used lately. He has a formula counting how many batters the closer has faced recently, weighting more recent encounters more heavily. It scores on what is effectively a 100-point scale.

    Here is today’s Bill James list of Tired Closers, in its entirety, copyright be darned:

    “These are the closers who have been most heavily used in recent days (only
    those with a score of 35 or higher):

    “Raisel Iglesias, Cin (AND OD) 48”

    No one else scored as high as 35. Raisel is, apparently, a very strong man.