Old Detroit Blog

The OD O.D.: Hope for Schwarber

I am working on the new defense ratings so I had to open Fangraphs. I haven’t done that much lately.  I’m kind of off Fangraphs since I spend so MUCH time there this spring on the way to producing a 9th place team.  

Anyway, I had to open Fangraphs to get their defensive stats for the season so far.  And there, right there, was this article

Warbird Down: Some Additional Thoughts on Kyle Schwarber

There I learned:

  • Kyle Schwarber has the lowest BABIP among qualified MLB hitters: .192.
  • His slugging percentage on sliders dropped from .593 in 2015 to .042 in 2017.
  • He has generated the 6th worst bWAR and the 2oth worst fWAR among qualified hitters.
  • He has yet to accumulate an entire season’s worth of MLB plate appearances.

But I also glanced at his AAA stats so far since his demotion a week ago:

28 PA,  .391 BA, .500 OBP,  .913 SLG.

I wonder what his AAA slugging percentage on sliders is?

Finally, if AAA is 80% as hard as MLB, one can expect stats t0 deteriorate by 25% upon promotion to MLB.  That would mean Schwarber, in his first week back in MLB, and every week thereafter, should produce something like this:

21 PA, .293, .375, .685

Sounds about right to me.  Come on, Schwarbs!  Let’s make it happen!